Archive for December, 2009

Learn the Forex Options Trading

Monday, December 21st, 2009

Have you ever heard about forex trading? Oh yes, definitely it iso ne of the most blooming markets in the currency world and the world of investment. Then you must also have come across forex options trading. Don’t worry, if you do not know what is it, read the article below and add it to your existing stock of knowledge.

Forex options trading is nothing but the traders makes an entry in an agreement for trading currencies with one another with an aim to make gains because the currency rates keep on fluctuating against one another. The forex option is purchased at a fixed rate and within a particular time period. With this, the traders are able to make about seventy percent gains, if their trade happens to expire in the money. Even if this option gets expired out of the money, you are paid back fifteen percent of your initial investment.

When a purchaser makes an agreement to buy the currencies at a preset rate at a particular time in the coming future, he does not purchase these currencies by themselves instead they buy the options. This is known as a forex option that is a kind of a binary option. It means that the possible profits or losses are based on the beginning of the agreement and it decided by the initial sum that is being invested by the option owner.

In case of forex options: there exist 2 probable outcomes:

1.    The forex option either expires in the money and the owner of the options gets the sum of 65-70% payout or

2.    The forex option might expire out of the money and he gets nothing.
Anyways, if this option trading is conducted along with anyoption, then there are chances that the option owner gets about fifteen percent of his initial amount back, if in case his forex option expires out of the money.

The forex options are always traded in pairs like JPY/ GBP, EUR/ USD. The first one in the pair is referred as the base currency and its value is one; whereas the second one is quote currency. The value of the quote currency demonstrates the number of quote currency required to purchase a single unit of the base currency.

For instance, consider the currency pair of JPY/ USD = 94.70, then it will cost 94.70 dollars to purchase one yen. As the yen gets stronger, this number will start increasing because it takes more dollars to purchase a single Japanese yen. The currency option trading largely depends on the alterations amongst the varied currencies and its fluctuating rates continuously amongst the varied pairs of currencies.

If you as a trader are interested in this type of option trading, you can be successful by gaining knowledge on the varied currencies and their movements.

Some Effective Tips in Forex Options Trading

Monday, December 21st, 2009

If you never used the forex options in your trade, it is advisable that you give a try at least once in your life time. They have the capability of overcoming the important problems faced by a number of traders that stops them due to the short term volatility.

Forex option trading offers an individual with unlimited potential to make gains and the risks are only the amount that you are paying for the option. It is simple that the rates may move in any direction in the period of short term, however as long as your forex option keeps on trading above the rate you purchased it, you have chances to make money.

You might have been stopped a several times by short term volatility. Only observe the prices going back in the direction you assumed that they would making lots of dollars even if you are not in the trading venture. This happens in case of most of the traders.

Choosing the right path of the longer trends is quite simple, however what is so tough or complicated is balancing the risk and reward ratio in the short term. You all wish to remain in the trend, however do not want to worry regarding the risks associated with the short term. Staying power is the main benefit offered to you by these forex options. Forex options are indeed a valuable tool to regulate or limit your risks associated with the short term. But remember, you need to utilize them precisely and below given are 2 ways in which you can use them:

•    It is suggested to purchase in or at the money options always. Avoid purchasing in the way out the money options because they are the long shot bets. No doubt the potentials for making profits here is the highest, if the striking price is struck. But focus on the word ‘if’ here. The options that are out of money are equal to that of the outsider bets and the outsider bets generally never wins.

•    Bring Time in your favor- the close the option approaches to its expiration period, the more time decay plays its significant role in the value of an option. It is advised never to purchase the forex options having less than three months of expiry period. This will give you enough time in your favor.

The forex options are also regarded as a risk control tool ultimately. They are so powerful that any trader should consider it with instability and get the staying power. The issue arises many times in not determining the direction of a currency n the long term; however in placing your stop loss orders. The forex option trading takes care of this issue by offering the staying power to you.

So take its advantage at your fullest!!

What is currency options trading

Friday, December 18th, 2009

It is very important that every forex trader understands what does options trading in forex market mean. This is because if the traders do not have a clue about what it is then there are chances that they may lose upon their hard earned money. An option is defined as a permission given to the owners to sell or purchase a specific security within a stipulated time frame. This specific security can be anything like a currencies, stocks, indices or commodities. The specific security is purchased or sold at a particular price and this is called as the strike price in currency option trading.

Before only the richer financial institutions and other banks were allowed to trade in the forex market. But as the currency option trading has spread its advent across the globe there have been many amendments made and it has also given many individuals a chance to trade in the forex market. Traders these days have a lot benefits in trading into the currency option trading market. These traders can also trade in these markets from any corner of the world and that too at any time. Online forex trading has also helped the traders to trade the digital options in the forex market with the help of internet. by this the trader can be at any place at any time and can trade in the forex market.

There are many traders who do not take proper information about what digital trading is all about and still want to trade in the market. This results into losses on a higher scale and thus makes the trader bankrupt by losing all the money. This is the reason why many of the researches have concluded that there are more failures in the forex market as compared to the success. The traders most of the times do not know what the strategies to be used are and what are the instructions to be followed while trading the options in the forex market.

The trader can be part time or full time but then it is still very important that they consult or look into the information provided by the experts and professionals of the currency options trading market. Most of the times, people opt for forex digital options trading because it has a lot of benefits and also offers more earning chances. If the trader does not have knowledge about what exactly currency options’ trading is then it is advisable that they hire the services of a broker. But then it is important to see that the broker is professional and also reliable. This is because he is the one who is going to take decisions with respect to the currency as well as the other currency pairs.

A report on forex options

Friday, December 18th, 2009

The value of a currency option can be effected by various ways that is deployed by forex options. The Black Scholes and the stochastic volatility model are two of the very highly popular models that are generally deployed. These models help in the determination of the option values. The Black Scholes model was devised by a person who was named Fischer Black and his friend Myron Scholes. The name of the model is directly linked with the names of the founders of these models. The model was devised in the year 1970.  This model proved to be a solution for the price of options which was theoretical in the beginning in Europe. The model was not perfect as there were some problems that the model had had. But it has become the base for all future models. It is a very vital method which is helpful in valuating the option values.
The heston model was part of the stochastic volatility model. The formation is due to the time volatility and price of commodity.

Various techniques are used to implement above models. The analytic technique is one of them. The binomial tree pricing is a model which involves the theoretical value. Option traders use this more frequently.

The Monte Carlo model uses a set of scenarios that is related with the economic market. Various other models are finite difference model and models similar to that.

A contract which gives the holder of the contract the right to sell or buy currency without obligating the investor to buy or sell at a given point of time at a particular value of the currency is known as forex option. In order to acquire this right in the forex trade, the investor pays a premium to the broker. This premium is known as options premium. The forex options have various advantages. The investor is certain about the amount of money he may lose if at all he loses. The investor is entitled to make a good profit by investing a small amount and entering the deal. The investor will invest only what he does not mind losing in the trade and hence the amount he may lose is known from the offset. The trader is presented with several options with the introduction of SPOT option. There are various spot options that are available.
The forex options also have some disadvantages. The decision to trade is made when the investor buys the option, he can not back out of the deal after that. The market behavior cannot be predicted and hence the investor has to consider options that would bring him profit suitably. Trading is an option of going against all odds. No one is certain as to what will happen in a forex trade. The advantages and disadvantages need to be considered before investing.

Daily Review 18/11/2009

Friday, December 18th, 2009

USD Dollar (USD)

The Dollar gained versus most majors as Industrial Production came out weaker, lowering risk appetite. Industrial Production came out 0.1% versus 0.4% expected. PPI came out weaker with 0.3% versus 0.6% forecast. TIC Long-Term Purchases came out better with 40.7B versus 27.3B expected. NASDAQ and Dow Jones rose slightly by 0.27% and 0.29%. Crude gained by 0.68% closing at 79.44$ a barrel and Gold (XAU) remained almost unchanged with 0.16% change closing at 1140.5$ an ounce. Today, Building Permits are expected higher with 0.59M versus 0.57M prior and Core CPI is expected with 0.1% versus 0.2% prior. Housing Starts are expected higher with 0.61M versus 0.59M and Crude Inventories are expected with 1.2M versus 1.8M prior.

EURO (EUR)

The Euro weakened versus the Dollar and the Pound as risk appetite weakened and ECB\’s president Trichet said a strong Dollar is important for the world economy. European Trade Balance came out better than expected with 6.8B versus -0.9B expected. EUR/USD traded with a low of 1.4806 and with a high of 1.4998. Today, European Current Account is expected with 0.6B versus -1.3B prior. ECB President Trichet will speak in Frankfurt.

EUR/USD – Last: 1.4870

Resistance

1.4900

1.4925

1.4955

Support

1.4810

1.4740

1.4703

British Pound (GBP)

The Pound remained almost unchanged versus the Dollar as CPI figures came out better than expected but Industrial Production in the U.S lowered investors Risk Appetite. CPI came out 1.5% versus 1.4% expected and RPI came out -0.8% versus -0.9% expected. Overall, GBP/USD traded with a low of 1.6755 and a high of 1.6872. Today, MPC Meeting Minutes will be released. CBI Industrial Order Expectations are expected with -47 versus -51 prior.

GBP/USD – Last: 1.6800

Resistance

1.6850

1.6900

1.6955

Support

1.6750

1.6670

1.6625

Japanese Yen (JPY)

The Yen gained versus the Euro and weakened versus the Dollar as risk appetite lowered after Industrial Production in the U.S came out weaker than expected. Overall, USD/JPY traded with a low of 88.73 and a high of 89.53 and EUR/JPY traded with a low of 132.44 and a high of 133.58. Today, All Industries Activity is expected with -0.1% versus 0.9% prior.

USD/JPY-Last: 89.17

Resistance

89.65

90.00

90.18

Support

88.80

88.60

88.25

Canadian dollar (CAD)

The Canadian Dollar dropped as Risk Appetite weakened following U.S production data. Overall, USD/CAD traded with a low of 1.0464 and a high of 1.0617. Today, Canadian CPI is expected with 0.2% versus 0% prior and Core CPI is expected with 0% versus 0.3% prior.

CAD/USD – Last: 1.0535

Resistance

1.0620

1.0680

1.0735

Support

1.0475

1.0450

1.0425

Research by http://www.ufxbank.com

GoLearn Forex Analysis 17/12/2009

Thursday, December 17th, 2009

Is the CAD Headed for a Breakout?  By GoLearn Forex

USD/CAD:

The Canadian Dollar from a technical standpoint is giving every indication it is going to breakout.   Price has been consolidating for several weeks.  You can see more clearly the consolidation in the Chart below depicted by the orange triangle.

Typically we draw a triangle where only one side represents the slope.  However, the triangle drawn below is indicative of investor’s uncertainty with regards to the CAD.  The Canadian economy is holding strong.  The CAD is a commodity currency and will rise and fall as commodity prices rise and fall (in particular Oil).  The Dollar has been rallying which should mean a weaker Loonie, but this rally stems from positive U.S economic data.  The U.S economy and that of their northern neighbor are linked to a certain extent as they feed off of one another.  Therefore, positive U.S data should also be good for the CAD.  Therein lies the conflict and thus you have a dual sided sloping triangle.

CAD1612

The CAD is currently trading above its 50 day MA.  Similar to the AUD and NZD it failed to breach the 100 day MA in spite of the Dollar rally.  As the CAD wedges itself into the triangle we are looking for the following to occur in order to trip an entry signal.  If the Loonie produces a candle south of the 50 day MA and south of the bottom slope of the triangle then look to enter a Long CAD position.  Alternatively, if the CAD produces a candle body north up the upper slope of the triangle and the 100 day MA then enter a Short CAD position.  Lastly, if a Short CAD signal triggers we see a near term take profit level at 1.0880 coinciding with the Fibonacci 23.6% Retrace level.  We view this level as strong point of resistance.

Oil Takes Off by GoLearn Forex

The FOMC meeting came and went without stirring the waters.  In the Euro-zone and London, Equity Markets finished their sessions in positive territory ahead of the highly anticipated U.S FED rate decision.  The accompanying FOMC statement was intentionally left mostly unchanged so as not to roil markets. It served its purpose well as the DJIA finished the day off slightly lower by 10.88 points to close at 10,441.12 while the tech heavy NASDAQ closed up 5.86 points to 2,206.91.

In the Currency Markets the Dollar followed Equity Markets finishing the session nearly flat against its G-7 counterparts.  The AUD gave up .61% still reeling from CB comments that took on a more dovish tone in regards to any near term future rate hikes.

Oil soared to 73.54 during intra-day trading before leveling off the day at 72.66, a gain of $1.97.  Gold climbed $12.70 an ounce to 1,137.90.  On the Agricultural front Soybeans, Cotton and Sugar continued to rally while Copper, Wheat and Corn declined on Dollar strength.

On the economic data docket for today we have the BOJ rate decision to be announced, although no change is expected.  In the U.K, Retails Sales are set to be released while in Canada CPI data will hit the wire.  In the U.S, Jobless Claims will print as will the measure of Leading Indicators and the Philadelphia FED survey.

Upcoming Forex Events for December 17, 2009

GBP  Retail Sales (MoM) Forecast  0.50%  Previous  0.40%

CAD  Core CPI (MoM) Forecast  0.10%  Previous  0.10%

USD Initial Jobless Claims Forecast    470.00K  Previous  474.00K

JPY Interest Rate Decision  Forecast  0.10%  Previous  0.10%

Analysis by http://www.golearnforex.net

High Rate of Returns in Binary Options Trading

Thursday, December 17th, 2009

In this world that is highly dominated with pessimistic headlines and numerous corporate scandals heading one after the another, the binary options is the best way to make an entry or exit from the forex market instantly along with high yielding paybacks in your favor.

The field of binary options trading is very exciting in the world of investments. As it name suggests, binary options include 2 probable results in the binary options trading agreement and that is nothing else, but either to WIN or LOSE. The way in which a number of agreements are made is a predetermined payout to win that is about seventy five percent gains along with the principal investment returns; whereas the loss payout generally ranges up to fifteen percent of your capital.

If your trade in successful in the binary options trading agreement of two hundred dollars, you will be paid three hundred and fifty dollars. It includes your two hundred dollars along with the seventy five percent profits. If the same trade terms to be unsuccessful, then you will be paid only thirty dollars that includes fifteen percent of your initial investment. It might seem a bit strange to acquire the returns of some revenue on an inappropriate action; however it would aid in making the forex market function properly. It indeed generates few interesting potentials for hedging purpose. It is similar somewhat to that of a parting gift on some game shows or events.

There are few limitations on the potentials available to take part in the forex market, because recently there are not many kinds of securities that are traded in it. alternatively, these few securities traded in the binary market is quite popular and liquid securities like the Microsoft, Nasdaq Index, Google, Yen/ USD forex rate, etc.

Another significant criterion of such investments is the instant turnover of the investment rates. The binary options expire every hour that means the investment payoff of a particular individual will be taking place on the similar day, instead of years, moths or weeks as compared to that of the other types of investment options that takes a very long time; say moths or even years.

One other indeed interesting or great feature of this binary options trading market is the number of less barriers to make a successful entry into it. It needs only hundred dollars for opening an account in the binary option trading. As compared to the other forms of investment that demands about hundred or thousand dollars to initially start with their account. Therefore, even a common man wishing to trade in the binary options trading can easily afford to spend this amount and trade in the binary market.

Enjoy the Higher rates of return with less investment only in the binary options trading.

Forex option trading

Thursday, December 17th, 2009

Forex is a potential trading business which is involved in international currency trading. It is a largest financial market. It is different from other markets like stock market and commodity market. This Forex trading market is open for 24 hours a day and five days a week. The average turnover of this market goes beyond three trillions every day.

Forex trading market does not have any fixed exchange anywhere. It is essentially traded by banks, Forex brokers, dealers, Forex traders and financial institutions. There is no fixed geographical location of the exchange as such. The Forex trading is done all across the world. Generally Forex trades are executed through telephone. But nowadays there is an increasing end of internet as well. Recently small scale investors have started getting into this Forex trading. This is because in earlier days, large deposits and thus big investors had a monopoly into this business. Since now internet and other efficient means, this business has reached the general people easily.

There are many advance systems available in the Forex trading market. One can trade with as low as 100$ with a leverage or margin ratio of 1:100. One can get free service on Forex charts and news updates. Thus more and more small investors have started coming into this trading. This could be the reason for market liquidity.

Persons are introduced to this Forex trading market in many ways. It can be done through newspaper, television, friends, etc. The person who is new to Forex trading should always start with a demo account. It can be regarded as a simulation of the live Forex trading. One can take help of Forex brokers into this matter. One should go for a reputed and well-experienced Forex broker. The prospective Forex broker should be registered with the regulating authority in that respective country. Also one should see the testimonials about the given Forex broker or the brokerage firm given by the fellow traders or Forex experts or professionals. One should also ensure the customer care or support team of the Forex broker.

Though Fore trading business has tremendous amount of profits in comparatively less amount of time, it has risks too. One can minimise the risks but cannot avoid them totally. Thus one should always have good strategy and discipline in this business. A STOP loss is always required in Forex trading. Psychology also is an important aspect into this business. Thus one should have a good mental attitude while dealing in this business. It is important to get to know the concepts of this trading. But the most important thing is putting right step at right time. One should have a right time frame in his mind while dealing with this Forex trading. This business has lots of potential in it. One should think about it in all aspects so that he can achieve the success.

Daily Review 17/12/2009

Thursday, December 17th, 2009

USD Dollar (USD)

The Dollar gained massively across the board on the day the Federal Reserve decided to leave rates as expected at 0.25%. The Dollar rose after the announcement and continued its gaining after Asia markets opened. Earlier, the Building Permits came out 0.58M better than expected 0.57M. CPI came out unchanged as expected at 0.4%. Wall Street finished mix after being unable to hold in the positive side. Stocks turned to the negative after the statement of the FED about monetary policy. The Dow Jones fell 0.10% and NASDAQ rose by 0.28%. Crude Oil kept gaining for the second day closing at 72.77$ a barrel after the oil inventories showed a 3.7M drop. Gold (XAU) gained also closing at 1137$ an ounce. Today, the Initial Jobless Claims expected at 470K vs. 474K previously. The Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index expected at 16 vs. 16.7 previously.

EURO (EUR)

The Euro fell against the Dollar and the Pound, breaking through the 1.4500 and 1.4400 support levels, after the CPI came out 0.5% worse than expected 0.6%. The breakdown of this level could bring the pair to fresh new lows. Manufacturing PMI came out 51.6 better than expected 51.5. Overall, EUR/USD traded with a low of 1.4379 and a high of 1.4590. Today, the Italian Unemployment Rate expected 7.7% vs. 7.4% previously.

EUR/USD – Last: 1.4410

Resistance

1.4500

1.4600

1.4675

Support

1.4345

1.4300

1.4235

British Pound (GBP)

The Cable was the best performer among majors. GBP/USD momentarily broke above 1.6370 and rose to 1.6404, reaching a one-week high but then pulled back, breaking below the 1.6300 support level, reaching lows of 1.6230. Claimant Count Change came out -6.3K better than the expected 14K. Overall, GBP/USD traded with a low of 1.6230 and a high of 1.6409. Today, the Retail Sales expected at 0.5% vs. 0.4% previously. The CBI DTS expected at 16 vs. 13 previously.

GBP/USD – Last: 1.6275

Resistance

1.6425

1.6475

1.6525

Support

1.6275

1.6210

1.6170

Japanese Yen (JPY)

The Yen fell against the Pound and the Dollar. The Dollar reached a one-week high against the Yen as the Federal Reserve said deterioration in the labor market is abating while it will keep its low rate for an extended period. Overall, USD/JPY traded with a low of 89.37 and a high of 89.96. Today, the interest rate decision of The Bank of Japan (BOJ) expected unchanged at 0.1%.

USD/JPY-Last: 89.65

Resistance

89.95

90.40

90.75

Support

89.30

88.75

88.35

Canadian Dollar (CAD)

The Canadian currency gained as crude oil and stocks rose. It was little changed after policy makers in the nation and the U.S. made commitments to keep interest rates at historic lows. The Manufacturing Sales came out 2% better than expected 0.5%. Overall, USD/CAD traded with a low of 1.0570 and a high of 1.0641. Today, The Core CPI expected unchanged at 0.1%. The Foreign Securities Purchases expected at 10B vs. 13.59B previously.

USD/CAD – Last: 1.0615

Resistance

1.0640

1.0670

1.0700

Support

1.0570

1.0550

1.0515

Research by http://www.ufxbank.com

What are Exotic Currency Options?

Wednesday, December 16th, 2009

There are currency options that are being used by a number of organizations as an effective tool for risk management for hedging their exposure towards forex trade. The speculators also make use of it to generate significant gains. But you might be confused with what the options actually and how are they related to forex trade. Oh, no more confusion let me explain you in simple terms. Options are a trading agreement that is signed between the options holder and the option seller. This contract grants a right and not obligation to the purchaser of the option that he can purchase a principal asset under particular conditions by paying the amount known as premium.

The purchaser of the option might implement this right either to sell or purchase the principal asset, if he finds that it would be a profitable deal. Alternatively, the purchaser might even not implement this particular right, if the deal is found to be unprofitable. Nevertheless, if the option purchaser implements the right to sell or purchase the principal asset, then the seller would be obliged to either purchase or sell at a particular rate. In most of the foreign transactions, a currency is bought and the other is being sold. Considerably, all the currency options are a put option as well as a call option. A call option grants the right to the owner of the option to purchase the principal currencies at a particular rate; whereas a put option offers the right to the purchaser to sell the option at a preset rate.

Then, why these options are regarded as significant tool for risk management? Assume that there is a Japanese company who would be paying for the imports of its raw material in two months in the US dollars. In such a situation, this Japanese organization would remain unhedged and buy the USD at an available price in the two months duration. Alternatively, it can then hedge by purchasing the US dollars or it can also make use of the option approach.

One such hedging approach that is accessible to the Japanese organizations is purchasing the Japanese Yen put and the US dollars call. Purchasing a yen put option would support the expense of imports if in case the yen rates fall down and devalues in the two months period.
Herewith, the organization controls the expense at its maximum and at the same time does not limit the minimum required. A person can trade such 5 unique options in order to make exclusive gains in varied market situations. However, in case of a loss, he will lose only a small amount of premium that has been paid by you while purchasing the unique options.

This was all about the exotic currency options. Make use of it in your trade to make maximum benefits out of your trade.